📈 Breakouts, Rotation, and Key Levels
What you need to know before you trade this week.
Weekly Market Setups: Breakouts, Rotation, and Key Levels
Week of September 15, 2025
Four major indexes are at all-time highs. The Fed just cut rates 25 bps. Gold and uranium are surging, while volatility (VIX) refuses to lift. The setup? A broadening market — but with feast-or-famine rotations that demand stock selection.
Here are the 5 setups I’m watching this week — plus the macro themes that matter most.
📈 Market Recap
Last week delivered a wave of breakout strength across equities:
✅ S&P, Nasdaq, NYSE, and Dow all hit fresh highs
✅ Fed rate cut of 25bps confirmed easing path
✅ VIX remained subdued despite new highs
✅ Gold and uranium both broke out to fresh levels
Key takeaway: The market’s broadening, but leadership is rotating quickly.
🔧 Setup 1: ASML (Lithography Leader)
Samsung’s memory ramp is creating tool demand upside
NVDA’s $5B injection into Intel’s foundry is a direct tailwind
Watch for bookings growth in upcoming earnings
Positioning: Continuation setup if SOXX index strength persists
💾 Setup 2: Micron (MU) – Memory Upcycle
Memory & storage in early upcycle phase
Capacity coming back online; bit pricing improving
Leading semis rotation away from overextended AI names
Positioning: Hold higher lows for trend continuation
🧬 Setup 3: Biotech (XBI)
Weekly MACD zero-line flip = trend change potential
Lower 2-year yields reduce biotech burn rates → sector support
Long-term base forming; breakouts need confirmation
Positioning: Lean bullish above resistance, but respect volatility
🛍️ Setup 4: Consumer Discretionary (XLY)
Ratio of XLY vs XLP shows “wants” outperforming “needs”
Retail strength (AEO, cruise lines, apparel) highlights risk-on behavior
Market not behaving like a recessionary environment
Positioning: Look to discretionary leaders, not broad ETFs
🔋 Setup 5: Lithium (LIT)
Posted a new 2-year closing high
Positive RSI divergence supports continuation
Strong commodity bid alongside gold/uranium
Positioning: Trend is intact — use trailing stops to manage momentum
🌍 Macro Themes to Watch
NextG leadership → Nasdaq Next Gen showing strong relative strength, signaling upcycle ahead
Stock correlation at decade lows → stock-picker’s market, not “buy everything”
Volatility subdued → VIX staying low with rate clarity adds to stability
Stagflation hedge → Gold and Bitcoin continue to attract flows as inflation insurance
🎥 Full Video Breakdown
In my full video, I dive deeper into:
Drone & defense stocks (KTOS, AVAV) gaining attention
Crypto basket rotations (BLOK, QTUM)
Why software’s entry into AI (CRWD and more) could be the next big catalyst