Last week was a difficult week for traders. The major indexes had their first down week since the Fed announced rate cuts were coming in 2024. Looking forward we are waiting to see if this is a short term pullback or if there is more selling to come.
Key charts to be aware of below:
US Dollar Index ($DXY) - RSI holding as is support
Russell 2000 ETF ($IWM) - failed yet again and RSI rolled back under 70
Microsoft ($MSFT) - huge RSI negative divergence
Nasdaq ($QQQ) - rejected the high, RSI under 70
Semiconductors ETF ($SOXX) - rejected the high
S&P 500 ($SPY) - RSI rolling under 70
Tesla ($TSLA) - multiyear DTL continues to hold
Regional Banking ETF ($KRE) - holding above major support
Cloud Computing ETF ($CLOU) - $21 major support
Health Care ETF ($XLV) - multiple year range
ZIM Integrated Shipping ($ZIM) - above the 55 SMA weekly
Cytokinetics ($CYTK) - another new high as we approach the weekend and JPM conference. Buyout rumors persist.
Bitcoin ($BTCUSDT) - forming a flag, RSI is overbought
10 Year Treasury ($TNX) - continues to hold 55 weekly SMA
Sector comparison - biotech outperformed everything on Friday
The composition of PE dry powder
Secondaries fundraising activity
About $1.5T in private credit globally, of which $400B is dry powder
The exits-to-investments-ratio is declining
PE exit activity falling after the Fed raied rates in 2022Q1
For more stock market analysis, watch this weekend’s video: